Broad-based global equity indexes[1] depreciated in the third quarter as mixed economic signals obfuscated the outlook. Contrary to consensus expectations, ARK expects an economic landing somewhat harder than soft, though not as severe as that associated with the Great Financial Crisis. Indeed, the US economy seems to have been in a rolling recession, as cyclically sensitive indicators like housing, autos, and inventories have been under recession-like pressure for nearly two years. In our view, growth in ARK’s Five Innovation Platforms could play an outsized role in pulling the economy out of recession and salvaging corporate margins as inflation gives way to deflation in many sectors.
As measured by the S&P 500 and MSCI World.
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